The GOP's Palin question
Palin's popularity gap could signal trouble for the party
In a Nov. 7-9 Gallup Poll of 1,010 adults (margin of error +/- 3 percent), 45 percent of Americans agreed they would "personally like to see Sarah Palin be a major national political figure for many years to come" -- but 52 percent said they would not like to see that happen. In the pre-Election Day Gallup poll testing Palin, she had a 42 percent favorable rating but a 49 percent unfavorable. In the newer, post-election study, her favorable was 48 percent and unfavorable 47 percent among all Americans.
But, and there is usually a but to such things, 76 percent of Republicans would like to see her a major figure in the future, and she had a whopping 83 percent favorable among them, compared with just a 13 percent unfavorable rating. Among independent voters, Palin had a 44 percent favorable, 48 percent unfavorable rating, and among Democrats, predictably, she had just a 21 percent favorable and 75 percent unfavorable rating.
In combined Gallup surveys of 799 Republicans and GOP-leaning independents conducted between Nov. 5 and 16, 67 percent of Republicans and GOP-leaners said they would like to see Palin run in 2012, 30 percent said they would not. Palin exceeded former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (62 percent), former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (61 percent) (both contenders this year), four star Army Gen. David Petraeus (49 percent), former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (48 percent), Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (34 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (31 percent), current Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (23 percent) and South Carolina Sen. Lindsay Graham (21 percent).
Comments
Or, they can select a solid conservative like Romney or Huckabee. My prediction is that Sarah Palin will not be the nominee in 2012. But, she will be a force within the Republican Party in 2012.
When it becomes apparent that Obama the Messiah cannot turn the economy around by 2012, the voters will turn on him. This will give the Republicans an opportunity to win back the white house.
On the other hand, if ACORN continues to register dead people and allows every Democrat to vote 70 times, the Republicans will lose again.
As far as Romney goes, he seems intelligent enough, with the solid credentials that conservatives appreciate, and a good background in economics. My problem with the man is his backing. Everything about having Cofer Black and his ilk solidly behind the man screams "Bush, the Sequel". Bush's problem wasn't so much a lack of intelligence as it was the corrupt driving forces behind him. Black and his company represent some of the worst of it.